Rwanda

Rwanda faces increasing climate risks—including more frequent extreme rainfall, intensified floods, prolonged droughts, and rising temperatures—documented through national downscaled analyses. Yet national institutions still lack the capacity to routinely update, interpret, and mobilize projections for early warning and adaptation planning, as highlighted in the national adaptation planning process.

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Programme type: Accelerated Support Window
Funding: USD 249,730
Duration: Mar 2026–Nov 2026
Status: Ongoing

 

Key goals

  • Producing updated national downscaled climate projections using WMO-recommended methodologies, building on the initial National Adaptation Plan’s datasets.
  • Developing climate-risk narratives and maps for key sectors and catchments.
  • Building institutional capacity through training on projection generation, quality control, bias correction, validation, and interpretation.
  • Supporting the preparation of climate-risk inputs for the next national adaptation planning cycle, sector adaptation strategies, and catchment-level adaptation plans.
  • Develop climate change fact sheet for each climatological zone to support policy-making.
  • Train public-private financial institutions to use climate projections for risk pricing and planning.

Key results

The ASW action note was approved by the Steering Committee on 19 March 2026.

Spotlight

Enhancing Rwanda’s ability toward climate resilience

Rwanda’s National Adaptation Plan (NAP) and associated studies identify critical gaps in national technical capacity to generate downscaled climate projections, interpret extreme event indicators, and integrate medium- to long-term climate risk information into sectoral planning. Although initial projections were developed during the NAP process, they are not yet institutionalized or regularly updated. Stakeholders highlighted the need for standardized, decision-ready climate projections and climate-risk products at national, catchment, climatological zones, and district levels to inform policies, investment decisions, and early warning services. The Action will enhance Rwanda’s ability to anticipate climate risks, improve disaster risk reduction and early warning services, and strengthen the evidence base for future resource mobilization.

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